I am struggling to find a positive reason for Scotland to back the English People’s Vote.
Perhaps some of you who bother to read this can enlighten me.
Here is how I view it, the only justification for backing the notion is that the SNP strategists are almost 100% sure that Westminster will never agree to this vote.
Then the SNP can truly say, “well we tried everything, we offered every concession and they rejected every single overture we made.
We are now left with no other choice but to recommend that the Scottish people vote for independence!”
Should that not be the strategy then I think we have handed the Britnats a stick to beat us with whenever we do hold a referendum on independence.
Let us presume that against all the odds Westminster does agree to this second vote on Brexit.
The vote goes ahead and there is a huge Remain Vote in Scotland and a small victory UK wide to reject Brexit.
The bear traps for our movement are obvious, first and foremost an immediate independence referendum becomes impossible if UK reverses the Brexit vote.
We have no ‘material change’ and in any future Independence struggle even if we win the plebiscite the Unionists could demand a second vote on the terms that Scotland and RUK agree upon.
It does not take a genius to work out exactly how the Rumpers would negotiate and pontificate or how much propaganda would be unleashed to undermine the first result.
IMHO we should have distanced ourselves from this entirely which in itself would have reinforced the ‘we are a different country already’ narrative.
We could have stood behind the very credible, “we have already given our opinion by 62% to 38%.”
This Brexit mess was made in England and Wales it is up to you two to sort out your own mess.
The chaos that would ensue this guarantees a material change in the relationship no matter what they do to fix their chaos.
There is no precedent of us backing a second vote following a successful independence plebiscite for them to exploit.
Unless I am missing something we have made a tactical misstep.
Saor Alba gu brath.